Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.158050 1.412924 1.741120 2.208592 2.882585 3.864697 5.505262
2025-05-11 0.801631 1.066266 1.457517 2.122098 3.335677 5.778972 12.477933
2025-05-18 0.649656 0.913810 1.342543 2.171845 4.015435 9.135620 36.981545
2025-05-25 0.563739 0.827538 1.288355 2.283002 4.941716 15.564292 234.247661
2025-06-01 0.491560 0.742817 1.204768 2.285494 5.636385 24.762567 363183.296858
2025-06-08 0.429659 0.661900 1.103904 2.198119 5.992479 35.944394 NaN
2025-06-15 0.397087 0.626669 1.083270 2.301297 7.253961 77.810511 NaN
2025-06-22 0.363892 0.584179 1.036371 2.311732 8.208415 172.005194 NaN
2025-06-29 0.331838 0.538938 0.973392 2.247805 8.736103 379.347356 NaN
2025-07-06 0.306310 0.502989 0.924255 2.208416 9.430627 1381.489127 NaN
2025-07-13 0.296683 0.497266 0.944055 2.411684 12.600111 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.283847 0.483091 0.940270 2.532968 15.831753 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.266563 0.458012 0.905572 2.525041 17.922428 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.247766 0.427846 0.852991 2.422988 18.491179 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.236657 0.413125 0.838813 2.483784 22.552996 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.228826 0.404654 0.839940 2.619194 30.314418 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.217948 0.388220 0.815970 2.622247 35.525467 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.205282 0.366626 0.774129 2.515799 36.266668 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.199512 0.360218 0.775230 2.641543 50.768780 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.191561 0.348031 0.757338 2.654289 61.932871 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.182339 0.332156 0.726207 2.576285 65.773561 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.174476 0.318914 0.701509 2.528325 73.045667 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.172823 0.320201 0.721780 2.776651 147.757556 NaN NaN